What We Do

Product

LTV Calculation

Grow long-term profits by understanding each customer's full lifetime value

Lifetime ValueFirst Order ProfitLifetime Profits0.0×036912Months since first order

Profits Beyond the First Purchase

Many brands depend on repeat purchases and returning customers to drive revenue: optimizing for first-purchase profitability alone causes these brands to leave profits on the table. Laurence uses repeat purchase data, Subscribe & Save rates, and time to repurchase combined with your true contribution margins to make sure we maximize profits in the long run.

Profit first-order pricing misses

A keyword can look unprofitable on order one and still be one of your best investments once repeat purchases and Subscribe & Save reorders are priced in. Laurence finds and funds these keywords that your competition walks away from.

Real margin, not top-line revenue

Our LTV calculations factor in contribution margin using your actual COGS, referral fees, FBA, and shipping: so the extra spend Laurence justifies is extra profit, not just extra sales.

No profit wasted on math that doesn't work

When even the full lifetime-value math doesn't clear breakeven, spend stays held back instead of getting rationalized away. And as repeat rates, retention, and margins shift, the bar moves with them automatically, every hour.

Methodology

How We Do It

  1. 01

    Amazon Marketing Cloud

    Amazon doesn't show sellers customer-level data — it lives in AMC, Amazon's clean room. Laurence queries five years of purchase history for every cohort of customers whose first order was one of your products.

  2. 02

    Repurchase behavior

    For each product we measure the repeat rate, orders per customer, and the full time-to-repeat distribution — how long customers actually take to come back, including Subscribe & Save reorders.

  3. 03

    Per-product LTV

    Those cohorts give each product its own lifetime value: the average cumulative spend of a customer across your whole catalog after that first order — not a storewide guess.

  4. 04

    Priced into every bid

    LTV feeds straight into the bid model. Where rivals bid to first-order breakeven, Laurence prices the full customer — and can profitably win auctions they can't afford.

Repurchase-time distributionRepresentative product · illustrative data
The same instrument that runs in the Laurence platform: the share of repeat customers who have reordered by each day since their first purchase, with the fitted curve that gives the bid model its time-to-repeat.
LTV Calculation | Laurence